Uganda Oil and Gas Market Outlook 2018–2032: Industry Analysis, Exploration & Production, Pipelines, Refining, LNG, Storage, and Price Trends

Published On: Jul, 2025
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Pages: 120

Uganda Oil and Gas Market Overview

Uganda’s oil and gas market has entered a new phase of transformation following the discovery of vast reserves in the Lake Albert region in the early 2000s. The two flagship fields—Tilenga and Kingfisher—are now under development, preparing the country to become an oil producer by late 2025. This marks a seismic shift in Uganda’s energy and economic landscape, as the sector evolves from exploration to production and export readiness. With cumulative investment nearing $10 billion by 2024 and continued injections forecasted for 2025, the country is mobilizing resources toward integrating the sector into the national economy. As Uganda steps onto the global oil stage, the government is implementing regulatory frameworks, revenue management systems, and environmental safeguards designed to channel earnings into infrastructure, social development, and intergenerational equity.

The upstream sector is centered on the development of the Tilenga (190,000 barrels per day) and Kingfisher (40,000 barrels per day) oil fields by the TotalEnergies–CNOOC-led consortium. By late 2024, over 400 appraisal and production wells had been drilled, indicating robust development momentum. Exploration has also expanded into frontier areas—including the Moroto-Kadam and Kyoga basins—through new geological surveys planned in 2025. In the midstream sphere, the East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP), a 1,443 km land pipeline to Tanzania’s Tanga port, surpassed 50% completion by the end of 2024 and is on track to carry first export volumes in 2025. The state-owned Uganda National Pipeline Company (UNPC) has secured a 15% equity share in the pipeline and is constructing key storage facilities near Kampala, alongside land acquisition and community compensation plans. Downstream activity includes plans for modular refining units and petroleum product storage capacity, yet most refined product imports will continue via regional networks. Overall, Uganda’s oil economy is anchored by rapid upstream delivery, an ambitious midstream export system, and emerging downstream infrastructure, signaling a fundamental industry evolution aligned with development goals.

Uganda Oil and Gas Market Latest Developments

Uganda is on track to commence its first commercial oil production by late 2025 from the Tilenga and Kingfisher fields, with over 400 wells drilled and significant infrastructure in place.

The East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP), a 1,443 km export route to Tanzania’s Tanga port, surpassed 50% completion by the end of 2024, including substantial progress on pipe laying and land acquisition.

Uganda is projecting approximately USD 2.81 billion in new investments for its oil and gas sector in 2025, building on the cumulative total of nearly USD 10 billion already spent by end-2024.

Geological exploration expanded in early 2025 to include the Moroto-Kadam and Kyoga basins, aiming to uncover new reserves beyond the Lake Albert region.

In March 2025, the Ugandan government and UAE-based Alpha MBM signed an agreement to construct a 60,000 barrels-per-day oil refinery in Kabaale, with Uganda holding 40% equity and construction expected to begin within the year.

Key Takeaways:

Uganda is transitioning from a resource-holding country to a petroleum-producing nation, with commercial output expected to begin before the end of 2025.

The Tilenga and Kingfisher upstream projects are being developed by TotalEnergies and CNOOC respectively, with combined expected production of approximately 230,000 barrels per day at peak.

The EACOP pipeline is progressing steadily, supported by both public and private stakeholders, and remains critical for exporting Uganda’s crude to international markets via Tanzania.

Domestic investment projections show strong confidence in the sector, with the government encouraging local content development and capacity-building in parallel with infrastructure development.

Exploration activities in new frontier basins indicate a long-term vision to sustain and expand the country’s oil reserves beyond Lake Albert, potentially boosting national reserves.

The planned Kabaale refinery is aimed at reducing Uganda’s dependence on imported refined products and will also serve neighboring countries, improving regional energy security.

The government, through the Uganda National Oil Company (UNOC), is enhancing its downstream capacity with petroleum storage terminals and bulk trading operations underway.

Social and environmental frameworks have been emphasized, with compensation and resettlement plans being implemented for communities affected by EACOP and oilfield development.

Uganda’s oil infrastructure is being developed with support from regional and international partners, including financing from African and Asian institutions despite limited Western financial backing.

Overall, Uganda’s oil and gas sector in 2024–2025 is characterized by rapid infrastructure build-out, policy support, and a strong focus on using oil revenues to drive industrialization, job creation, and long-term economic transformation.

Uganda Oil and Gas Market Report Scope

The "Uganda Oil and Gas Strategic Analysis and Outlook to 2032" is an all-encompassing report that delivers a full-spectrum evaluation of the nation’s oil and gas value chain—from exploration and production fields, refinery and LNG plant operations, to midstream pipelines and storage infrastructure in Uganda. Leveraging robust methodologies and proprietary databases, the study provides detailed asset-level data, historic and forecasted supply-demand trends (2015–2032), and a clear understanding of how recent developments, government policies, and market dynamics shape the sector. The Uganda Oil and Gas report equips industry stakeholders with actionable insights for investment, benchmarking, and strategic planning by profiling operational assets, new projects, and the competitive landscape across upstream, midstream, and downstream segments.

Comprehensive market analytics are complemented by SWOT and investment opportunity analysis, highlighting growth drivers, operational risks, sector-specific challenges, and capital requirements. The study evaluates key companies’ strategies, performance, and market positions, providing an integrated view of where opportunities and bottlenecks exist. The scope extends to Uganda field-wise production, refinery-wise capacity, LNG terminal operations (including liquefaction and regasification units), and product flows through pipelines and storage. The research not only answers core market questions but also uncovers the evolving dynamics that will influence the future trajectory of Uganda country’s oil and gas industry.

  • Uganda Asset-by-asset data covers all existing and upcoming oil and gas fields, refineries, LNG terminals, pipelines, and storage facilities, providing a granular view of national infrastructure.
  • Historic and projected supply-demand analysis for crude oil, natural gas, and key refined products (gasoline, diesel, LPG, fuel oil, etc.) from 2015 to 2032.
  • Recent developments, regulatory changes, and major project announcements are analyzed for their impact on market fundamentals and investment climate.
  • Segmented insights into upstream (exploration and production), midstream (pipelines, LNG, storage), and downstream (refining, distribution) operations.
  • Comprehensive overview of LNG sector including liquefaction and regasification terminals, contracted versus available capacity, and future outlook.
  • Uganda Oil and Gas Industry SWOT analysis and sector-wise benchmarking to evaluate industry strengths, challenges, opportunities, and potential risks.
  • Uganda Investment analysis detailing sector growth potential, required capital for new projects, and feasibility of ongoing and planned developments.
  • Competitive landscape profiling of leading companies, with business strategies, operational performance, and market shares.
  • Infrastructure benchmarking by market concentration in pipelines, refining, LNG, and storage segments, including capacity and utilization rates.
  • Answers to key market questions, including evolving Uganda supply-demand dynamics, project status, leading market participants, and the future outlook for capacity, trade, and investment.

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FAQ's

The Uganda Oil and Gas report provides comprehensive intelligence from upstream to downstream—covering exploration blocks, field-level production, refinery operations, LNG terminals, and supply-demand analytics. It empowers executives and investors with actionable insights to assess risks, evaluate opportunities, and optimize Uganda market entry or expansion strategies.

Yes, the report presents detailed data and analysis for all relevant segments present in the country—whether upstream (exploration and production), midstream (LNG terminals, storage facilities, pipelines), or downstream (refineries). This sector-specific granularity ensures accurate benchmarking, planning, and forecasting tailored to the Uganda oil and gas infrastructure.

With detailed coverage of exploration opportunities, trade contracts, regulatory frameworks, and infrastructure projects, the Uganda oil and gas report serves as a critical tool for stakeholders formulating investment strategies, negotiating partnerships, or aligning with national energy policies.

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